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RobDekker's picture
Ottawa, Ontario
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Rob currently works on Parliament Hill and is on the Centretown Community Association Board of Directors.  He writes regularly on his blog #RedHeartBlueSign at www.redheartbluesign.wordpress.com on lifestyle, political and personal topics.

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You may think you know, but you don’t

December 20, 2024

Just playing with what “might” happen to Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party of Canada.

The chaos created on Monday with the resignation of Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland has opened the opportunity for anyone and everyone to be a prognosticator and predict the next actions to be taken by the Prime Minister, the former Finance Minister and the Liberal Caucus.

The chaos was multiplied 21.9 billion times with the tabling of the Fall Economic Statement. 

So, I can count on more that two hands the number of actions that might take place in the coming days and weeks and not all off them initiated by the Prime Minister.

Here is a list for your consideration (some are in the past) and I know there are many more possibilities:

  1. The Prime Minister prorogues, announces he will step down after the party chooses a new leader.
  2. The Prime Minister convinces the caucus he is the only one to lead the party to the next election.
  3. The Prime Minister calls the caucus's bluff and calls an election as he flips the bird to the MPs that want him out.
  4. House rises and everyone goes to the Liberal Xmas party, and everyone knows that something substantial happens and tiptoes around it
  5. Parliament rises and everyone goes to the Liberal Xmas party and acts as if nothing ever happened the day before
  6. Parliament rises and the revolt continues, and Liberal MPs want Justin Trudeau to follow his follows footsteps on the snow one last time.
  7. Chrystia Freeland starts outright campaigning for the leadership of the party and begins with gathering caucus support.
  8. The Prime Minister prorogues and goes away and hides until February after there is a cabinet shuffle.
  9. Cabinet shuffle to replace the 6 ministers that have resigned in recent weeks and life goes on.
  10. The Prime Minister shuffles the cabinet, Freeland goes full leadership campaign mode and caucus falls apart as an unofficial leadership campaign start over Christmas.
  11. The Prime Minster goes on vacation.
  12. The House remains on Christmas break and the Prime Minster prorogues as the end of the break approaches; this leads to a few subsequent actions:
    1. A throne speech is delivered, and the government receives the confidence of the house with the support of the NDP.
    2. A throne speech is delivered, and following the reading of the speech, the Prime Minister dissolves parliament, visits the Governor General and calls an election.
    3. A throne speech is delivered, and following the reading of the speech, the Prime Minister losses the confident vote, dissolves parliament and visits  the Governor General to drop the election writ.

The unifying statement that has come forward is that all 4 opposition party leaders are calling for the Prime Minister to resign.  The caveat from the NDP leader is that he wants the PM to resign BUT won’t vote against the government until February or March.  

Canadians are now focused on how the PM will reflect and act following the resignation from Cabinet by Chrystia Freeland.  

There are many who think they know how all this chaos will play out, but really there is only one person who does…

Do you see any other scenarios playing out?  Please share them with me.



References

December 20, 2024