The Looming Crisis
A 25% drop in oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz would trigger long-term structural shocks. Picture empty tuk-tuks stranded across East Asia. Fossil fuels still dominate for a reason — unmatched energy density and versatility for heavy industry, shipping, aviation, and seasonal storage. Renewables and even nuclear have limits here.Globalization has created fragile supply chains reliant on cheap energy and military-backed stability. Add the United States’ ballooning national debt: 30-year Treasury yields now at 5%, with interest payments exceeding the entire budgets of the Departments of Defense and Health & Human Services — growing by $1 trillion every 100 days.These debt claims cannot all be satisfied. Asset liquidation, slowing GDP, and a popping financial bubble point to one outcome: economic depression. The readjustment will not be smooth or controlled.
Political Reality
Layer this onto our current unresponsive political system — lacking transparency, accountability, and responsiveness to people’s real needs. The likelihood of appropriate leadership response? Low.
What Must We Do?
Real solutions lie in local resilience:
Simplify processes
Secure control over essentials (food, water, clothing, shelter)
Build local supply chains
Understand and meet genuine local needs
Support thriving local businesses
Reduce dependence on external capital and supports
“We caught a rattlesnake — now we have something for dinner.”
We need to reduce personal and public debt, halve expenses where possible, and establish community tools like time banks for mutual exchange.
Anticipate the impacts in Ottawa: High unemployment
Crashing housing prices with multi-family occupancy
Fewer private cars, growth in informal transport
Rising crime, from petty theft to home invasions
Social cohesion will be critical. In tough times, trusted leadership matters most.2026 is an election year.
Choose leaders ready for these challenges — practical, accountable, and focused on building local resilience and self-reliance.
Comments
How do you propose to achieve these things?
Achieving change requires a systematic process
ADKAR is an individual change management model developed by Prosci.
It focuses on helping people successfully transition through change by addressing five sequential elements:
Awareness — Of the need for change (why it’s happening).
Desire — To participate and support the change (personal motivation).
Knowledge — Of how to change (what to do and how to do it).
Ability — To implement the required skills and behaviors (turning knowledge into action).
Reinforcement — To sustain the change (mechanisms to make it stick, such as recognition, rewards, and accountability).
For more information:
https://peterkarwacki.blogspot.com/2026/05/adkar.html?m=1